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Fayton signal

Subscribe to copy trading, short altcoins with the Altcoin Top Radar

Fayton backtest

Fayton shorts altcoins on Altcoin Top Radar alerts. Below is a backtest on historical data from 2022/08/01 to 2026/10/10

Total return
+2,056%
Annualized return
+108.1%
Max drawdown
-24.8%
Win rate
75%
Trades
20
Leverage
2x
Alt market cap, same period
+92%
Alt market cap max drawdown
-62.3%

Trading rules

  • Markets: USDT perpetuals of about 20 large-cap altcoins (excluding BTC and ETH), short only; coins that move more closely with the alt market get larger positions.
  • Entry: after the Altcoin Top Radar raises an alert, Fayton waits for the basket to confirm a turn lower; entry is delayed while the ETF 30D net inflow is strong.
  • Stop: the position closes when the basket bounces past the stop level, with at most one re-entry after that.
  • Leverage: 2x. Each alert uses 75% of the funds as margin, for 1.5x total exposure; a new alert does not enter while a previous alert still holds a position.
  • Exit: everything closes on a sharp BTC deleveraging; positions are held for 30 days at most.
  • Funds: we suggest following with at least 1,000 USDT, ideally 2,000 USDT or more. With less, some coins fall below OKX's minimum order size and are cut down or skipped.

Yearly returns

YearFaytonAlt market cap
2022 (from 08/01)+20.5%-31.4%
2023+16.2%+118.6%
2024+273.3%+92.9%
2025+143.5%-28.8%
2026 (to 10/10)+69.5%-6.6%

Every alert

The real trades after each alert and their effect on the account, measured against the account just before that alert.

AlertAlert totalEntry (UTC+0)Exit (UTC+0)Exit reason
2026/09/29+12.69%2026/09/29 16:00-Still open when the backtest ends
2026/09/08−8.56%2026/09/20 03:002026/09/20 17:00Stop
2026/05/09+34.10%2026/05/10 21:002026/06/05 23:00Sharp BTC deleveraging
2026/01/09+22.65%2026/01/09 13:002026/01/30 03:00StopSharp BTC deleveraging
2025/10/10+7.69%2025/10/13 12:002025/11/12 01:00StopHolding period ended
2025/07/21+14.19%2025/08/14 08:002025/08/27 01:00Holding period ended
2025/05/16+21.57%2025/05/28 15:002025/06/27 01:00StopHolding period ended
2025/04/30−11.48%2025/04/30 13:002025/05/10 07:00StopStop
2025/01/20+49.84%2025/01/20 13:002025/02/03 04:00Sharp BTC deleveraging
2024/12/05+22.82%2025/01/05 09:002025/01/13 19:00Sharp BTC deleveraging
2024/10/01+2.87%2024/10/01 14:002024/10/31 01:00Holding period ended
2024/07/24+46.20%2024/07/24 19:002024/08/05 09:00Sharp BTC deleveraging
2024/05/25+37.37%2024/05/28 02:002024/06/24 01:00Holding period ended
2024/04/02+42.30%2024/04/09 07:002024/05/01 13:00Sharp BTC deleveraging
2023/12/26+26.97%2024/01/02 15:002024/01/25 01:00Holding period ended
2023/11/07−11.75%2023/11/09 17:002023/11/11 00:00Stop
2023/07/06+14.77%2023/07/14 13:002023/08/05 01:00Holding period ended
2023/03/27−5.43%2023/03/30 01:002023/04/03 19:00Stop
2023/02/23+35.08%2023/02/23 12:002023/03/09 22:00Sharp BTC deleveraging
2023/01/28−10.19%2023/01/30 10:002023/02/02 01:00Stop
2022/08/16+20.45%2022/08/17 08:002022/08/19 10:00Sharp BTC deleveraging

The backtest trades Binance USDT perpetuals at 1-hour closes, net of fees, slippage and funding, before profit share. The alt market cap excludes BTC, ETH and stablecoins.

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