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Insight Altcoin Top Radar

What is ALR?Fayton signal

Every alert

Past record

FAQ

ALR (Altcoin Leverage Risk) is CoinKarma's own indicator. It ranges from 0 to 100 and mainly watches two things:

  1. Bitcoin moves sideways while money crowds into altcoins. Altcoin perpetual open interest grows fast as a share of the whole market, at a pace near the top of the past year.
  2. Altcoin leverage builds up to a point, then starts to unwind. Altcoins rally near their highs, open interest grows faster than price, and then it starts to shrink.

Data comes from perpetual futures on major exchanges such as Binance, Bybit and OKX, collected every hour and updated daily at 00:10 (UTC+0). The closer ALR gets to 90, the more likely an alert is in the next few days; an alert goes out when it reaches 90 or above.

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Every alert

Altcoin market cap (excl. BTC, ETH, stablecoins)Alert · click to open its 30 days

Alerts from the last 30 days are visible to Gold members only

Past record

Since 2022/08
Max drop within 30 days after an alert (median)
−19.4%Random day −10.3%
27 alerts
Max rise within 30 days after an alert (median)
+5.1%Random day +10.3%
27 alerts

Of 27 alerts, 18 fell more than they rose, 3 dipped then rose, and 6 rose first. Every alert from here on will be recorded here too, including the ones that turn out wrong.

FAQ

ALR (Altcoin Leverage Risk) is CoinKarma's own indicator. It ranges from 0 to 100 and mainly watches two things:

  1. Bitcoin moves sideways while money crowds into altcoins. Altcoin perpetual open interest grows fast as a share of the whole market, at a pace near the top of the past year.
  2. Altcoin leverage builds up to a point, then starts to unwind. Altcoins rally near their highs, open interest grows faster than price, and then it starts to shrink.

Data comes from perpetual futures on major exchanges such as Binance, Bybit and OKX, collected every hour and updated daily at 00:10 (UTC+0). The closer ALR gets to 90, the more likely an alert is in the next few days; an alert goes out when it reaches 90 or above.

Know on the day of the alert, not 30 days later

In the 30 days after the past 27 alerts, the median maximum drop in alt market cap was −19.4%, against −10.3% from a random day. The public record below shows an alert only once its 30 days are over; Gold members see it on the day, with the live ALR and the 30-day path.

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